============================================================================== 8.17 shipped arm, gate 128 PUBLISHED as a located crossing; the census brackets the truth rungs 37, line sizes [25, 9], EXCLUDED 3 (16000, 16384, 16768) location 1: re-fit 17760.9 published 17760.9 (0.000% apart) NULL: 7770 exhaustive draws (0 degenerate), 1000 sampled (0 degenerate), 1000 bootstrap (0 degenerate) loc published null med null p5 null p95 pctile boot sd 1 17760.9 17555.5 17496.1 17637.7 100.00% 58.9 [sampled] 17555.2 17492.7 17634.5 100.00% (1000 sampled draws) truth 16384-16896: published is +6.74% of it; the NULL's own 5-95 span is 0.85% of the truth, and the truth sits at pctile 0.00% of the null ============================================================================== 8.17 ADDITIVE_MIN=64 arm computed by the same reducer, NOT published - 8.17.5 quotes the bracket rungs 24, line sizes [13, 9], EXCLUDED 2 (8000, 8512) location 1: re-fit 18115.1 published 18115.1 (0.000% apart) NULL: 276 exhaustive draws (0 degenerate), 1000 sampled (0 degenerate), 1000 bootstrap (0 degenerate) loc published null med null p5 null p95 pctile boot sd 1 18115.1 16038.4 12757.2 18079.9 96.01% 69.0 [sampled] 16037.6 12752.5 18078.5 96.50% (1000 sampled draws) truth 8192-8192: published is +121.13% of it; the NULL's own 5-95 span is 64.97% of the truth, and the truth sits at pctile 0.00% of the null ============================================================================== 8.17 ADDITIVE=0 arm (control) the causal control: no break exists, so no location should rungs 21, line sizes [14, 5], EXCLUDED 2 (16032, 16416) location 1: re-fit -576.9 published -576.9 (0.008% apart) NULL: 210 exhaustive draws (0 degenerate), 1000 sampled (0 degenerate), 1000 bootstrap (0 degenerate) loc published null med null p5 null p95 pctile boot sd 1 -576.9 -1804.7 -3861.6 10006.1 57.14% 8967.0 [sampled] -1846.3 -3932.9 9987.3 59.20% (1000 sampled draws) ============================================================================== 8.21 depth-1 nibble, two tile knees the depth-2 and depth-1 tiles, both structural rungs 17, line sizes [5, 6, 4], EXCLUDED 2 (4369, 21845) location 1: re-fit 4230.4 published 4216.4 (0.331% apart) location 2: re-fit 21932.1 published 21932.1 (0.000% apart) NULL: 136 exhaustive draws (0 degenerate), 1000 sampled (0 degenerate), 775 bootstrap (225 degenerate) loc published null med null p5 null p95 pctile boot sd 1 4230.4 4268.1 4213.5 5018.6 19.12% 28.8 [sampled] 4268.1 4213.5 5018.6 19.10% (1000 sampled draws) truth 4369-4369: published is -3.17% of it; the NULL's own 5-95 span is 18.43% of the truth, and the truth sits at pctile 88.97% of the null 2 21932.1 21932.1 21578.1 22806.9 51.47% 520.5 [sampled] 21932.1 21578.1 22816.5 52.30% (1000 sampled draws) truth 21845-21845: published is +0.40% of it; the NULL's own 5-95 span is 5.62% of the truth, and the truth sits at pctile 45.59% of the null